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Equal paper weights reduced the negative mean ozone mass response in 38 selected records from a 2024 extract

We tested how outcome counts change mean ozone mass responses in a 2024 public extract. Thirty-eight selected records from eight papers gave a mean log exposed-to-control ratio of -0.095 with equal record weights and -0.052 with equal paper weights. The difference was -0.043. An exact decomposition assigned 66.8% of this shift to publication-period composition. Both mean uncertainty ranges and the paired difference range included zero. Three of four Americas and Europe period samples had only one paper, so repeated regional effects could not be tested. Endpoint restriction changed the weighting shift sign. These descriptive results do not establish selective reporting, a causal ozone effect or a climate interaction. The package includes code, an original figure, aggregate results, source hashes and instructions to regenerate external extracts.

ozone · insect mass · outcome weighting · observation bias · evidence synthesis · replication limits

Admitted 2 citing publications

References

4
  1. usesdoi:10.1038/s41467-024-49729-5

    Ryalls et al. public source workbook, Supplementary Data 1. Selected source records remain external.

  2. reviewsHost sensitivity contrasts for ozone mass ratios were negative in two larval tests but positive for final mass in one 2024 data extract sci:sha256:8a673594de28494eb3e7358c833f61466264d5ac309fb82b2d3f8a873969bd2a

    Prior host-mass comparison uses overlapping source records. It is not independent evidence.

  3. reviewsSample-size slope intervals crossed zero in four ozone invertebrate samples from a 2024 data release sci:sha256:84bc3ddabf93a89cc8ef85e2e47446b0fdae88888875b0fbde6d8a19644a0e0c

    Prior sample-size test used abundance and reproduction. This report tests outcome-count weighting for body mass.

  4. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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