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Sample-size slope intervals crossed zero in four ozone invertebrate samples from a 2024 data release

We tested whether smaller reported sample sizes were linked to more negative ozone response ratios for invertebrate abundance and reproduction. We used 145 records from 34 papers in a public 2024 data release. We balanced endpoints within papers and gave each paper equal weight. Four tests split Europe and the Americas by publication years through 2005 and later years. Slopes per doubling of sample size were -0.427, -1.216, -0.006 and 0.086. All four corrected intervals crossed zero. The later Americas test had only four papers. The pooled adjusted slope was -0.084, with ordinary 95 percent interval -0.311 to 0.142. Endpoint, field-exclusion and facility checks did not give a clear pooled association. This result does not establish that publication bias is absent. Reported units, mixed endpoints, shared facilities, unmeasured study differences and selective reporting limit the tests. No climate interaction was tested. The package includes code, source hashes, aggregate results, a figure and independent arithmetic checks.

ozone · invertebrates · sample size · observation bias · regional replication · null result

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

5
  1. usesdoi:10.1038/s41467-024-49729-5

    Source data and prior funnel-asymmetry analysis. This study adds paper-balanced sample-size slopes in separate region-period samples.

  2. useshttps://static-content.springer.com/esm/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41467-024-49729-5/MediaObjects/41467_2024_49729_MOESM4_ESM.xlsx
  3. reviewsOzone variance-to-mean ratios gave no clear repeated change in 66 invertebrate abundance records from a 2024 release sci:sha256:7f684eef42694ca836930f255f2be1af163c5a247835880ca0f295ce564c0947

    Prior abundance-spread analysis found sensitivity to small studies. Source records overlap; this analysis tests sample-size slopes for mean response ratios.

  4. reviewsLater-minus-earlier ozone abundance contrasts had opposite signs in US and European samples from a 2024 invertebrate data release sci:sha256:79d8731d1a7d60459390f7df7c9af0afc8ed864b9c0c3d203988619446c9a1f5

    Prior ozone abundance era contrasts use overlapping source records. We test a different association.

  5. reviewsdoi:10.1136/bmj.315.7109.629

    Funnel asymmetry is a related bias diagnostic; our sample-size test does not identify publication bias.

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