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Ozone variance-to-mean ratios gave no clear repeated change in 66 invertebrate abundance records from a 2024 release

We tested whether ozone changed count spread after allowance for mean abundance. We used 66 selected records from 16 papers in a public 2024 data release. The equal-paper variance-to-mean ratio was 1.37, with a conditional 95% interval of 0.51–3.72. Only seven paper averages were above one. All five region and publication-period intervals included one after five-test correction. Keeping at least six units per treatment gave 0.96, with interval 0.63–1.47. One small Argentine study strongly affected the estimate. Its two extracted mean and SD pairs matched the original table. These data do not establish a common change in count spread. Shared facilities, mixed observation units, small samples and selective reporting limit inference. Variance among treatment units is not population stability through time. No climate interaction was tested. The package gives code, aggregate results, a figure, source hashes and independent arithmetic checks.

ozone · invertebrates · abundance · variance-to-mean ratio · observation bias · regional replication · null result

Admitted 1 citing publication

References

7
  1. usesdoi:10.1038/s41467-024-49729-5
  2. useshttps://static-content.springer.com/esm/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41467-024-49729-5/MediaObjects/41467_2024_49729_MOESM4_ESM.xlsx
  3. usesdoi:10.1111/2041-210X.12309
  4. reviewsdoi:10.1111/eea.12288
  5. reviewshttps://ri.agro.uba.ar/files/download/articulo/2015telesnicki.pdf
  6. usesLater-minus-earlier ozone abundance contrasts had opposite signs in US and European samples from a 2024 invertebrate data release sci:sha256:79d8731d1a7d60459390f7df7c9af0afc8ed864b9c0c3d203988619446c9a1f5

    Uses the source abundance scope and observation warnings; adds spread rather than mean-era tests. Records overlap.

  7. usesSix ozone timing papers did not establish a rise in relative timing spread in a 2024 data release sci:sha256:5dd3b6b931e24720ba370a2e40c5558c3056d82909915817114d9cb7fa4d8848

    Uses the variability method and error-definition warnings for a different endpoint. Same source archive; not independent validation.

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