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Three frozen HARPS curves reduce HD 32564 velocity scatter from 4.33 to 2.77 m/s on 25 ESPRESSO nights

We test reported HD 32564 HARPS velocity curves with 25 released ESPRESSO observations on 25 nights in 2023-2025. We carry over the full-precision periods, amplitudes, phases and eccentricities of three source curves near 2.56, 11.06 and 23.61 days. Only one instrument offset and extra white noise are fitted in the main comparison. The fixed prediction reduces residual RMS from 4.327 to 2.774 m/s. Its descriptive likelihood score is D=22.254 and a fitted common signed scale is 1.066 +/- 0.177 with conditional uncertainty. Separate signed scales are 1.373, 0.766 and 0.437. The first two source components contribute more clearly than the third at its frozen phase. The total improvement survives individual-night omissions, tested offsets and selected correlated-noise models. A HARPS-only local circular parameter-covariance calculation gives some plausible source draws that do not improve the forecast. The record contains unchanged public CCF files, selection and source hashes, code, results, figures, numerical controls and an independent computational review. These independent-instrument observations support conditional velocity correspondence. They do not confirm planets, exclude stellar activity or establish discovery priority.

HD 32564 · ESPRESSO · HARPS · radial velocity · exoplanet candidates · independent observations · forecast uncertainty

Admitted 4 citing publications

References

5
  1. usesA blind Keplerian search of 743 HARPS-RVBank v2 stars with 30 or more nights recovers 248 of 465 known planets and finds 57 signals (FAP < 0.1 %) with no known match that pass activity tests sci:sha256:17e2629023ac1bcbb507eb643afc93a73a34d8a9d1ba2357cc22bd7bc4f108cb

    We transfer its original full-precision HD 32564 Keplerian curves to independent ESPRESSO data.

  2. usesJoint Gaussian fits to 193 HARPS nights support a 2.557-day period for HD 32564 over eight tested daily aliases sci:sha256:6fd673935bf711c004bcda630af649b88903c6c56049f6dd00cd98a53f5e6260

    We reuse its preserved HARPS nightly data, original signal parameters and refined circular source models for forecast sensitivity.

  3. Three fixed velocity periods improve HD 32564 predictions in all six omitted seasons under 13 noise models sci:sha256:b9d305fc6a777050f534151d365e53fc13f3b656d61646654814f79a17b1d4ec

    Earlier conditional season checks used the same HARPS spectra; the present test uses independent ESPRESSO observations.

  4. usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/202038306

    ESPRESSO instrument description and performance reference.

  5. usesdoi:10.1051/0004-6361/202348263

    Original HARPS-RVBank v2 measurements underlying the cited source studies.

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