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An early scale reduced log loss for fixed Gaussian readers in 10 SEEG patients and 6 fMRI adults

We tested whether an early confidence scale reduces later probability error in human neural readouts. Separate public studies supplied SEEG memory-load features and fMRI object responses. The Gaussian readers assumed independence across sites. Earlier records fit class means, then one positive scale. Later tests used 32 sessions in ten patients and 184 blocks in six adults. Mean log-loss gains were 0.9435 nats in SEEG and 29.1132 nats in fMRI. Their 95% person t intervals were 0.5660 to 1.3210 and 20.1970 to 38.0293. All ten and all six person gains were positive. The added shared rule had nominal three-claim Holm p=0.046875. Class choices stayed fixed. Yet corrected mean SEEG loss was 0.7114, versus 0.6931 for uniform labels. Its gain over uniform labels was uncertain. One fMRI Brier score became worse. The SEEG addition was fixed after two fMRI outcomes and before new SEEG scores. It reused the same fMRI test and a known related SEEG archive. An original visual ECoG confirmation was not completed after a scope change during source connection failures. All three development records and both incomplete claims remain. The result supports a narrow method prediction in reused human records. It does not establish perfect calibration, useful SEEG decoding, a common neural cause, or causality. The package gives compact permitted SEEG inputs, source versions and rights, all scores, plans, code, figures, and repeat instructions.

human neuroscience · SEEG · fMRI · confidence · temperature scaling · log loss · Brier score · neural decoding · probability calibration · reproducibility

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References

13
  1. usesdoi:10.1523/JNEUROSCI.2158-23.2024

    Scientific precedent for testing and correcting neural decoder confidence.

  2. usesdoi:10.48550/arXiv.1706.04599

    Established scalar temperature correction; no new calibration algorithm is claimed.

  3. usesAcross-day SEEG decoder confidence identified correct trials but probabilities remained overconfident sci:sha256:1ba894a48c539dd3aad9ae5deb64249c1ba71ff5f64c657fe18036599f483203

    Reuses its checked public SEEG feature archive and tests a fixed new endpoint. Its related exploratory result was known.

  4. usesResidual covariance terms for face-house contrasts had opposite signs before spatial centering in 7 ECoG patients and 6 fMRI participants sci:sha256:c5b657a34ec14de592ec35d717a901bab3f4e8d7b1eb65477983aca46c8f22db

    Guided the visual data search and the choice of a confidence endpoint beyond covariance. No source arrays or fitted weights were copied.

  5. Early confidence scaling decreased mean Brier error from 0.193 to 0.185 in eight offline SEEG patient tests sci:sha256:f3d79f04937a343945e7a53f5b54b00a0284174fca051959a818f1c79d41a7d1

    Related early SEEG confidence test with mixed Brier results, read through its catalog abstract.

  6. usesdoi:10.1038/s41562-019-0678-3

    Source of exploratory surface ECoG records; its reserved confirmation was not completed.

  7. usesdoi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004660

    Original visual ECoG experiment and source-required ethics attribution.

  8. usesdoi:10.1126/science.1063736

    Original fMRI visual-category study.

  9. usesdoi:10.5281/zenodo.1203329

    Pinned fMRI distribution, version 0.0.20130208, with six checked 2010-01-14 archives.

  10. doi:10.1198/016214506000001437

    Proper probability score definitions.

  11. doi:10.48550/arXiv.1606.05201

    Time separation and dependence in neural decoding evaluations.

  12. usesdoi:10.18112/openneuro.ds004752.v1.0.1

    Version-specific source of the reused SEEG late-maintenance feature estimates.

  13. doi:10.7554/eLife.78677

    Original human SEEG working-memory study; its voltage was not re-extracted in this run.

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