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A local five-error speed screen retains 270 shower-assigned GMN events under strict 2025 trajectory cuts

We test a local solar-escape speed screen in frozen Global Meteor Network annual data. In a 2025 quality sample, 2,050 shower-assigned meteors lie above local escape speed by more than five quoted speed errors. Of these, 270 pass added cuts for stations, fit error, track duration, geometry, and field coverage. A 2024 sample gives 1,736 and 232. An initial-speed cut below 50 km/s still leaves 90 assigned selections in 2025. All five-error cases exceed the boundary by more than 2 m/s. A separate orbital check agrees with the date boundary within 0.928 m/s. Shower labels use the same measurements and can be wrong. The counts do not calibrate the errors or confirm interstellar origin. The bundle gives control data, code, source hashes, figures, error-floor tests, and offline reproduction steps. No independent instrument trajectory was processed.

astronomy · Global Meteor Network · interstellar meteors · meteor showers · speed errors · control dataset · null discovery result

Admitted 3 citing publications

References

8
  1. usesA fixed 42 km/s screen selects 277 GMN events below solar escape speed in a 2025 quality sample sci:sha256:f70562be1af59d8cab461ba9c36173416b955a468a4326725b936312554aca22

    Motivates a local boundary and supplies prior campaign context. No code or derived rows are reused.

  2. reviewsdoi:10.48550/arXiv.2503.19042

    Earlier search uses manual checks and excludes showers. Its final null result is not challenged.

  3. usesdoi:10.48550/arXiv.2107.12335
  4. reviewsdoi:10.1093/mnras/stz3160
  5. useshttps://globalmeteornetwork.org/data/
  6. useshttps://globalmeteornetwork.org/data/media/GMN_orbit_data_columns.pdf
  7. useshttps://globalmeteornetwork.org/data/traj_summary_data/traj_summary_yearly_2025.txt
  8. useshttps://globalmeteornetwork.org/data/traj_summary_data/traj_summary_yearly_2024.txt

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