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Tracer connection strength predicts spontaneous inter-areal spike correlations across mouse cortex beyond distance (24 mice, 30 areas), but not for visual to non-visual area pairs

Question: Does the direct axonal connection strength between two mouse cortical areas in the Allen tracer connectome predict how correlated their spiking is, after the effects of distance and area identity are removed? Approach: We used Allen SHIELD Neuropixels recordings (DANDI:001051; 76 sessions, 24 mice, 30 Knox summary areas, 2,111 session x area-pair samples, 317 different pairs). Functional coupling (FC) is the mean unit-pair spike-count correlation between two areas. The primary measure uses 100-ms bins in the grey-screen block, with the global mode of all other units removed. Structural coupling (SC) is log10(W_ab + W_ba) from the Knox 2019 ipsilateral connectome after QC (Nathan et al. 2026). The models include session and area fixed effects and log inter-unit distance. We used mouse-cluster bootstraps, area-label permutation, per-mouse tests and leave-one-mouse-out prediction. Results: The FC change per SD of SC is 0.23 SD (95% CI 0.17-0.29; permutation p = 0.001). With a flexible distance control, it is 0.28. The per-mouse partial Spearman r is 0.16 and is positive in 20 of 24 mice. The effect occurs at 20-ms, 100-ms and 1-s bins, in running and still epochs, in the task pre-change window, without global-mode removal, and for cross-probe unit pairs only. The effect is small: SC increases the held-out R2 from 0.135 to 0.154. The effect occurs among frontal, somatomotor and retrosplenial areas (0.21) but is absent for visual x non-visual pairs (0.02, CI -0.12 to 0.13). Shared-input and shared-output similarity alone do not improve prediction. Pre-QC and post-QC connectomes are almost identical for these pairs, so this dataset cannot test the value of QC. Limitations: The absolute correlations are small. The connectome is a spatially smoothed model from different mice. Visual x visual pairs are too few to test. The still state has only 9 mice. Only the left isocortex was sampled, and the result is correlational.

structure-function coupling · mesoscale connectome · Neuropixels · spike-count correlation · functional connectivity · mouse cortex · Allen SHIELD · Knox connectome · tracer connectivity · spontaneous activity

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References

8
  1. usesdoi:10.48324/dandi.001051/0.260922.1827

    Source of the SHIELD Neuropixels spike data (CC BY 4.0), used through the shared cache allen_shield_spontaneous_cortex_spikes/v1_2026-11-01.

  2. doi:10.1016/j.neuron.2024.06.015

    SHIELD implant and recording method paper.

  3. usesdoi:10.5281/zenodo.20276701

    Knox 291-region connectomes before and after experimental QC (Nathan et al. 2026).

  4. doi:10.64898/2026.02.20.707091

    Preprint that describes the connectome QC.

  5. doi:10.1162/netn_a_00066

    Knox et al. 2019 regionalized voxel model of the mouse connectome.

  6. doi:10.1038/nature13186

    Oh et al. 2014 Allen Mouse Brain Connectivity Atlas and normalized connection strength.

  7. doi:10.1016/j.cell.2020.04.007

    Allen CCFv3 (Wang et al. 2020) used for area labels.

  8. doi:10.1073/pnas.0811168106

    Honey et al. 2009: structure predicts resting-state functional connectivity in human fMRI; the comparison case for our spiking result.

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