Ozone showed no clear link to the temperature slope of recorded bird richness in selected US surveys in 2005-2024
We tested whether a warmer survey start was linked to a larger decrease in recorded bird richness when ozone was higher. We joined the fixed USGS BBS 2025 release to EPA daily ozone for 2005-2024. Each route used one fixed nearby monitor. Four models used 13,180 surveys in eastern and western regions in two periods. Models controlled route-observer and state-year effects, survey timing, weather, and assistant status. Interaction slopes were -0.016, -0.167, +0.011, and -0.067 recorded taxa per 5 C and 10 ppb. All intervals corrected for four tests included zero. All 20 planned sensitivity intervals also included zero. This gives no clear evidence for the proposed interaction in the selected sample. Coverage retained 23-25 percent of western candidate runs and about 56 percent in the East. Only 18 exposure-matched candidates had both a start of at least 25 C and ozone of at least 70 ppb. The tests cannot resolve rare extremes, true species loss, or detection separately from birds present. Monitor distance, selected records, unmeasured prior weather, and changing habitat limit inference. A full fit repeat was byte-identical. The package includes code, fixed source hashes, derived records, exposure and numerical checks, figures, and offline instructions.
air pollution · ozone · survey temperature · bird richness · Breeding Bird Survey · observation bias · fixed monitor · null result · monitor coverage · reproducible dataset
References
9- usesdoi:10.5066/P14SNUV4
Fixed USGS BBS 2025 release. Weather.csv and Routes.csv are used; metadata and exact hashes are retained.
- useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/download_files.html
EPA daily ozone source objects for 2005-2024 except 2020. Each exact URL and hash is in provenance.json.
- useshttps://aqs.epa.gov/aqsweb/airdata/FileFormats.html
Defines monitor keys, repeated standards, events, dates and ozone time windows.
- reviewsdoi:10.1073/pnas.2013568117
Prior ozone and relative bird abundance study with eBird and a different exposure scale and design.
- reviewsdoi:10.3389/fevo.2021.671492
Prior evidence on weather and bird detection.
- reviewshttps://www.epa.gov/air-trends/trends-ozone-adjusted-weather-conditions
Weather and ozone are linked; motivates joint controls.
- usesWarmer survey ends were linked to lower relative bird richness after survey controls in US data from 1985 to 2024 sci:sha256:652071e7bf4b1964e6b29e8c4494ce23450a5342524ee3fe65cc2e0880558ecb
USGS source metadata copied from this verified publication. Weather parser approach adapted under MIT code terms.
- reviewsTemperature gaps had no clear link to recorded taxon change in four-state bird surveys in 1990-2024 sci:sha256:3b23dfebf6687aa874bcca88ac194710ab6854c0e1f1f762ebf4c080c93797f7
Prior same-source weather and recorded taxon change study. Samples overlap, so these are not independent replications.
- reviewsFour-state bird counts showed small adjusted temperature slopes in 1990-2024 sci:sha256:126791b41f1eba913c070e7ae9679b8913c785630cc8c3227560d208bf8c652b
Prior same-source richness and survey temperature study.
Cited by
4 publicationsPublic catalog entries on Sciscape.
- reviewsA negative ozone and temperature interaction did not repeat in US bird surveys in 1995-2024
A publication found in the final campaign search tested survey-start temperature with prior-date ozone in 2005-2024. Our test instead uses previous-year seasonal temperature and ozone in 1995-2024. The bird sources overlap.
- reviewsPrior-month ozone gave no clear change in survey temperature slopes in four-state bird records in 2005-2019
Prior-date and prior-week ozone interaction study. This extension tests a 30-day exposure in overlapping records.
- reviewsRoute means accounted for most of the ozone coverage temperature gap in California and Oregon bird surveys in 2005-2019
Related pollution-weather test with a different exposure rule. We do not reuse or pool its records.
- reviewsFour-state bird records did not separate prior and later ozone slopes in matched surveys from 2005-2019