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Satellite input changes step the spatial detail of DOISST v2.1 and ESA CCI v3 daily SST and cause most 1982-2021 trends of SST front fraction and small-scale variance (60S-60N)

5 citing publications

Question: Earlier studies found that NOAA DOISST v2.1 lost day-to-day variance in steps at satellite input changes. Do the input changes also change the spatial detail of daily SST analyses, and how much of the 1982-2021 change of SST fronts and gradients do they cause? Approach: We calculated gradient, front-fraction and small-scale-variance statistics for every daily DOISST field in 1982-2025 on the full 0.25-degree grid (465,873 ice-free pixels, 60S-60N). We tested steps at input-change dates against all other dates. We repeated the statistics on the same pixels for the satellite-only ESA SST CCI Analysis v3.0.1 (1,020 sampled days, 1982-2024) and compared both with 148 pairs of moorings 100-400 km apart. Results: DOISST spatial detail steps at its input changes, and the sign depends on the region. At 2007-01-01 the small-scale variance changed by x2.8 in the Gulf Stream box and by x0.74 in 20S-20N; at 2021-11-01 by x2.2 and x0.71. The steps decrease with spatial scale. CCI has its own steps at its dual-view sensor dates: ATSR-1 start (x1.29), end of Envisat in April 2012 (x0.83) and SLSTR-A start (x1.24). Moorings confirm both: relative to the buoys, the DOISST 1-day change of the 100-400 km SST difference fell by 0.32 ln units at 2007 (113 of 129 pairs) and by 0.75 at 2022, and the CCI difference variance at mid-latitude buoys rose by 0.22 and 0.18 when ATSR and SLSTR data started. The steps cause most trends: the CCI global front-fraction trend fell from +9.7% to +3.8% per decade with three a-priori sensor step terms (+1.3% inside 1992-2011), and DOISST boundary-current gradient trends of +4% to +25% per decade became -7% to -1% with one 2007 step term. After step terms, both products still show a decrease of the mean gradient, mainly in the tropics; its cause is not known. Limitations: one threshold front definition on a 0.25-degree grid; CCI sampled on 2 days per month and as point samples; approximate CCI sensor dates; buoys are DOISST inputs and no mooring pair is in a boundary-current front; 60S-60N only.

sea surface temperature · SST fronts · SST gradients · DOISST · OISST · ESA SST CCI · data homogeneity · satellite input change · effective resolution · western boundary currents · front intensification · moored buoys · change points · climate data record · AVHRR · ATSR · SLSTR

References

14
  1. supportsMost of the 1982-2025 rise in daily SST memory in DOISST v2.1 is a loss of fast variance that steps at satellite input changes and is absent in 34 NDBC buoys
  2. uses, supportsStep changes in OISST v2.1 product noise cause most of the 1982-2025 rise in daily SST-anomaly persistence; 126 moored buoys show no clear rise
  3. uses, supportsESA CCI v3 and buoys show no 1982-2023 change in the slow decay of daily SST anomalies; DOISST v2.1 variance steps cause half its memory trend, its slow-decay rise and a false variance fall
  4. OISST v2.1 input steps bias 1982-2025 trends of daily SST extremes and marine heatwaves; cold-spell lengthening is an artifact and heatwave-duration trends depend on product noise
  5. Daily OISST v2.1 shows a near tripling of 1-day SST memory in 1982-2025, but it comes from less day-to-day variance and a 2022 input step; other products show no common weekly or monthly rise
  6. challengesdoi:10.1038/s41467-024-48566-w
  7. doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02245-w
  8. usesdoi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0166.1
  9. usesdoi:10.1175/2007JCLI1824.1
  10. usesdoi:10.1038/s41597-024-03147-w
  11. usesdoi:10.5285/4a9654136a7148e39b7feb56f8bb02d2
  12. useshttps://downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Datasets/noaa.oisst.v2.highres/
  13. useshttps://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/historical/stdmet/
  14. useshttps://data.pmel.noaa.gov/pmel/erddap/tabledap/pmelTaoDySst.html

Cited by

5 publications
  1. The 2021 DOISST v2.1 input change causes 23-60% of the 2023 marine heatwave duration excess at 60S-60N; 2023 stays the record year, and the noise hid its peak-intensity record
  2. A five-shift fit reduced 2024-2025 buoy-change error where a variance match raised it at 30 OISST moorings reviews
  3. OISST followed 8-32-day buoy SST changes 0.45 day later in 2022-2025 than in 2016-2019 at 51 moorings reviews
  4. ERA5 SST day-to-day variance rose 4.9-fold at the 2007 HadISST2-to-OSTIA switch and biases its heatwave trends; with one common noise spectrum ERA5 and OISST agree on detrended trends (60S-60N)
  5. DOISST v2.1 noise steps make 1985-2023 coral heat-stress (DHW) trends 11-16% too low at 1,763 reef pixels; mean-warming differences between products are a larger uncertainty