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Removing two known bad BAT days changes the LMC X-4 phase estimate by 0.034 cycles in a weighted daily test

We test the soft minus hard phase of LMC X-4 with public daily Swift BAT and MAXI data. Two BAT records on MJD 58571 and 58572 have DATA_FLAG = 0, but the BAT team had already warned users to ignore those dates. They carry 84.23% of the BAT inverse-variance weight in our paired reference selection. With a fixed sinusoidal clock and four Fourier harmonics, removal of both dates from both bands changes the fundamental phase from -0.05913 to -0.02480 cycles. This +0.03433 cycle difference is an analysis sensitivity, not a change of the source. The reference window is MJD 57000–60461. A later window, MJD 60462–61332, yields 388 paired days in 21 observed cycles after source-page contamination masks and boundary-cycle cuts. Its soft minus hard phase is -0.02909 cycles, with a conditional 95% paired-cycle bootstrap interval of [-0.05851, +0.00735]. The later minus cleaned reference difference is -0.00429 cycles, with interval [-0.03764, +0.03654]. This test does not resolve an epoch change or prove a constant phase. The soft rate is a sum of public MAXI bands and differs from a custom extraction. The contribution quantifies the effect of a known data fault and supplies a later-data benchmark. The package preserves code, frozen numeric inputs, provenance, controls, bootstrap draws, figures, and reproduction instructions.

LMC X-4 · Swift BAT · MAXI · superorbital phase · data quality · Fourier phase · paired cycle bootstrap · public astronomical data

Admitted 11 citing publications

References

4
  1. usesdoi:10.3847/1538-4357/ae4691

    We use the sinusoidal phase trend from Table 1 of the linked arXiv version 1. The paper supplies the prior soft and hard phase study through MJD 60461. Our daily soft rate proxy and phase estimator differ.

  2. usesdoi:10.1088/0067-0049/209/1/14

    The Swift BAT transient monitor supplies the public daily and pointing records used in this test.

  3. usesdoi:10.1093/pasj/61.5.999

    MAXI supplies the public soft-band daily data. The source page supplies the contamination dates.

  4. For a fixed sinusoidal forecast, the fitted 2024–2026 BAT phase offset of LMC X-4 changes sign with the calibration interval sci:sha256:7e5f3e34f8a5e5bc09bbb1aa7f12c236ec6f4fe10599c2487a42476cb5b4a059

    This related study tests later BAT phase offsets against a fixed event forecast and shows dependence on the calibration interval. Our measured quantity is the paired soft minus hard phase. Our main audit concerns two earlier bad dates. No code or input files are reused.

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